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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Lingering bullish risks in OTC bullion remains intact – Optionality to uphold safe haven gushes, 1-3m straps for optimal hedging

Feb 20, 2017 07:21 am UTC| Research & Analysis

In recent times, we upheld our long gold trade recommendation ahead of the largely uncertain risks around Trumps inauguration and the kick-off of his presidency. Obviously, both those immediate catalysts have passed but...

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY 1m IVs to encompass major data events, (GDP, PMIs and monetary policies in both continents) – “Diagonal Option Strips” for skew convexity

Feb 20, 2017 06:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Despite GBPJPY downtrend seems to be intact, a lot of bad news is already priced in and digested by the market, preventing it from being overly bearish. Brexit caused two Sterling debacles, first in June with the vote and...

Moody's: World Bank's financial position remains robust due to strong capital base

Feb 20, 2017 01:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The financial position of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD or World Bank, Aaa stable) remains robust reflecting a strong capital base and liquidity position and substantial protection from...

FxWirePro: Safe haven sentiment lingers in bullion – Uphold longs in CME gold futures with mid-month tenors

Feb 17, 2017 12:46 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Earlier in January, we closed our long gold trade recommendation in order to lock in profits ahead of the largely uncertain risks around Trumps inauguration and the kick-off of his presidency. Obviously, both those...

FxWirePro: Europe election tail risk hedge as EUR/USD RVs and IVs in tepid range – Uphold Bund gamma and swaptions

Feb 17, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We believe that political risk into the French elections is priced more appropriately in bonds (but not in currencies) than going into the Brexit and US vote. In the remote scenario of a Le Pen Presidency with...

FxWirePro: Derivatives trades to short exorbitant EUR/JPY skew

Feb 17, 2017 09:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The EURJPY volatility surface is currently offering very attractive opportunities, as ATM volatility is rich and 6m/1y skews are excessively priced. Here, we recommend a couple of trades taking advantage of both the...

FxWirePro: Momentary bulls in AUD/NZD and jerking IVs to lure short legs in “Ratio Reverse Put Spreads”

Feb 17, 2017 09:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDNZD is consolidating in a 1.0630-1.0710 range ahead of an eventual push higher. The pair in medium term perspectives:Higher to the 1.0770-1.0650 area at least. Majorly for valuation reasons, the cross remains well...

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Economy

Vietnam’s November Trade Sees Monthly Decline but Strong Year-on-Year Growth

Vietnam recorded a notable month-on-month decline in trade activity in November, according to new data from the National Statistics Office (NSO). Exports fell 7.1% from October, reaching $39.07 billion, while imports...

Austria’s AA Credit Rating Affirmed as Fitch Highlights Stable Outlook

Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Austrias Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA with a Stable Outlook, underscoring the countrys strong economic fundamentals despite rising fiscal pressures. According to the...

Fed Meeting Sparks Division as Markets Brace for Possible Rate Cut

The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is shaping up to be one of the most closely watched and contentious in years, with investors focused on how divided policymakers are over a potential interest-rate cut and the signals...

U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as a softer inflation reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could move forward with an interest-rate cut next week. The SP 500 climbed 0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks closed the week with modest gains on Friday, as investors weighed a wave of delayed economic data and maintained strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at next weeks policy meeting. Despite...

Politics

CFPB to Review Anti-Discrimination Policies and Fair Lending Rules Amid Policy Shift

The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is preparing to convene its Consumer Advisory Board next week to review major policy changes, including a controversial proposal to scale back long-standing...

Supreme Court to Review Legality of Trump’s Birthright Citizenship Restrictions

The U.S. Supreme Court has agreed to examine the legality of President Donald Trumps directive aimed at restricting birthright citizenship, a move that could redefine a long-standing interpretation of the 14th Amendment....

Australia Imposes Sanctions on Taliban Officials Over Human Rights Abuses

Australia has announced new financial sanctions and travel bans against four senior officials of Afghanistans Taliban government, citing the worsening human rights situation in the country, particularly the escalating...

U.S. Appeals Court Rules Trump Can Remove Members of Key Federal Labor Boards

A U.S. appeals court has ruled that President Donald Trump had the authority to dismiss Democratic members of two major federal labor boards, marking a significant win for efforts to expand presidential control over...

Trump Backs Review of U.S. Childhood Vaccine Schedule After Hepatitis B Policy Change

President Donald Trump on Friday expressed support for a major shift in U.S. vaccine policy after government advisers voted to eliminate the long-standing recommendation that all newborns receive the hepatitis B vaccine at...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Taiwan Opposition Criticizes Plan to Block Chinese App Rednote Over Security Concerns

Taiwans political landscape heated up after the government announced a plan to suspend access to the Chinese social media platform Rednoteknown as Xiaohongshufor one year. The interior ministry said the proposed ban stems...

EU Prepares Antitrust Probe Into Meta’s AI Integration on WhatsApp

The European Commission is reportedly preparing to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) over the companys recent rollout of artificial intelligence features within WhatsApp....

Sam Altman Reportedly Explored Funding for Rocket Venture in Potential Challenge to SpaceX

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly explored raising significant capital to acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that could have created direct competition with Elon Musks SpaceX. According to a report from the...

Wikipedia Pushes for AI Licensing Deals as Jimmy Wales Calls for Fair Compensation

Wikipedia is seeking additional licensing deals with major technology companies to address the growing financial burden caused by artificial intelligence firms heavily scraping its platform, according to co-founder Jimmy...

Firelight Launches as First XRP Staking Platform on Flare, Introduces DeFi Cover Feature

Firelight reaches 25M XRP deposit cap within hours of launch; ushers in a new era for decentralized XRP staking. A new XRP staking platform, Firelight, has officially launched on the Flare blockchain, marking the first...