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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: NZD/USD 3m IV skews move in sync with FED’s forward guidance – ATM delta puts for hedging

Dec 16, 2016 08:29 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the 3m IV and skews of NZDUSD is pretty much in tandem with FEDs forward guidance. By that, we mean dollar would gain considerably against NZD in Q12017. NZDUSD 1-3 month: Below 0.6970. The US...

Moody's: Loans against property pose increasing risks in an otherwise stable retail property loans in India

Dec 16, 2016 01:39 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the overall asset profile of Indian banks property retail loan portfolio is stable, although risks are rising in the non-traditional loan against property (LAP) segment. Growth in LAP...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A glimpse on hedge fund positions in USD exposures a fortnight ago, FED and ECB key drivers of currency hedging again

Dec 15, 2016 13:44 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The above performance picture, we get from the monthly reporting hedge funds is quite disappointing than the picture from the daily reporting funds as even currency hedge funds performed poorly in November. As you could...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Euro political season and SNB intervention keep us bearish in EUR/CHF – EURO OTC signals mounting hedging sentiments

Dec 15, 2016 13:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

This write is majorly emphasizes on a bearish EURCHF owing to Euro area politics: This recommendation has been motivated by EUR facing multiple electoral hurdles in 2017 on the one hand, and constraints to SNB FX...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Highest Alpha potential in FX options markets and projections for 2017

Dec 15, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Given that the average investors tradable horizon is no more than 3-6 months, and that the bulk of US-policy driven FX moves are likely to be front-loaded in Q1 with some possibility of a reversal/inflection in H2, this...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: ECB policy shift likely to make EUR deep OTM put underperformer – Uphold vega longs in call calendar spreads

Dec 15, 2016 11:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Euro IV and RV curves are diverging, while risk reversals and underlying spot curves are converged, Fed has delivered with rate hikes as anticipated, ECB shifted its policy and EURUSD breaks its long lasting range bounded...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Positive shift in USD/JPY risk reversals as Fed does what BoJ wanted

Dec 15, 2016 07:32 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) got its Christmas presents firstly on 8th November and now again on 14th December: since the US Presidential elections the yen has been under pressure against USD. Thanks to Trump. As a result, the...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...