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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Stay firm and relish advantage of EUR to parity, high correlation, and low IVs in EUR/USD/SGD via one-touch knock-in

Jan 05, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The strategy: Weve already advocated this strategy in ourearlier post. Stay firm or initiate longs in USDSGD 3m one-touch knock-in 1.4950 on below strong grounds of fundamental attributes that are explained below,...

FxWirePro: Hedge via 3-way diagonal straddles versus OTM put to sync with USD/CAD bullish neutral risk reversals, IV skews, and trend

Jan 05, 2017 12:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

OTC outlook: As you could observe the risk reversal flashes across all tenors, although we see neutral changes to the bullish risk sentiments, as a result, CAD seems to be gaining in next 2 months tenor on recent OPECs...

FxWirePro: Major fundamental drivers to initiate/uphold USD/TWD 3m NDFs

Jan 05, 2017 09:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Economy

Weve already advocated initiating or those who hold longs stay firm with conviction in USDTWD 3m NDFs. Below are the weblinks for our recent write up on USDTWD...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Diagonal straps versus OTM put to hedge AUD/JPY amid quite data flow except Aussie trade balance and retail sales

Jan 05, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

TheAustralian federal governments mid-year fiscal updateis expected to show a deteriorating deficit as broad economic weakness offsets commodity price gains. Markets will be watching for any rating agency reactions. The...

FxWirePro: Chinese offshore currency heads for 4-weeks highs after PBoC into rescue CNH but unwise to be trapped in panicky selling baskets, major uptrend intact

Jan 04, 2017 13:05 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Please be noted that USDCNH has plummeted its prices considerably today and heading towards to retest 4 weeks lows at 6.8928. Technically, shooting star doji patterns are traced out at 6.9620 and 6.9717 levels...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Is there a way to deal with 1m negatively skewed AUD/USD IVs? Use premium-adjusted deltas to construct implied volatility smiles

Jan 04, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Before we begin with this write-up, please be informed that 1m AUDUSD ATM puts are flashing deltas around -0.50. AUDUSD has been tumbling considerably of late, dropped from the highs of 0.7778 to the current 0.7159...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge bearish NZD on declining GDT and bullish USD on Fed’s hawkish minutes via diagonal strips

Jan 04, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

NZDUSD has been neutral inside a 0.6860-0.6980 range. On medium term perspective: Lower to at least 0.6800. The US dollar has had an impressive rise since the US election and has apotential to rise further during the...

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Economy

India's Central Bank Holds Rates Amid Iran War Energy Shock

Indias Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is widely expected to maintain its benchmark repo rate at 5.25% this Wednesday, as policymakers carefully monitor the economic ripple effects of the ongoing Iran war. The conflict has...

Oil Crisis Escalates: Trump Threatens Iran as Strait of Hormuz Closure Pushes Prices Above $110

Oil prices briefly surged past $110 per barrel on Monday after President Donald Trump escalated military and diplomatic pressure on Iran, demanding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening or face strikes...

Asian Currencies Waver as Dollar Holds Firm Amid Middle East Tensions

Asian currencies struggled to find clear direction on Monday as the US dollar remained resilient, with investors carefully weighing escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East against emerging ceasefire diplomacy. The...

Bank of Japan Warns of Regional Economic Risks Amid Middle East Conflict and Rising Oil Prices

The Bank of Japan has raised concerns about the potential deterioration of regional economies, citing escalating oil prices and supply chain disruptions linked to ongoing conflict in the Middle East. In its latest...

India's Services Sector Growth Slows to 14-Month Low in March Amid Rising Costs

Indias services sector expanded at its slowest pace in 14 months during March, as the ongoing Middle East conflict weighed on domestic demand and cost pressures intensified sharply, according to the latest HSBC India...

Politics

Indonesia Files Genocide Case Against Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing Over Rohingya Crisis

A coalition of civil society organizations filed a landmark criminal complaint in Indonesia on Monday against Myanmars newly elected President Min Aung Hlaing, accusing him of committing genocide against the Rohingya...

Ukrainian Drone Strikes Hit Novorossiysk, Injuring Eight and Cutting Power Across Russia

At least eight people, including two children, were injured Monday after Ukrainian drones struck Novorossiysk, a major Russian Black Sea port city. Local authorities confirmed that several residential buildings sustained...

Trump Endorses Steve Hilton for California Governor

Donald Trump has thrown his full support behind Steve Hilton, a Fox News host and former British government official, in Californias upcoming gubernatorial race. Announcing his endorsement on Truth Social, Trump expressed...

Iran-US Ceasefire Talks: Pakistan Brokers "Islamabad Accord" to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

Pakistan is playing a central role in high-stakes diplomatic efforts to end hostilities between Iran and the United States, with a proposed peace framework now on the table that could reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz...

Kim Jong Un's Daughter Emerges as North Korea's Likely Successor, South Korean Intelligence Says

South Koreas National Intelligence Service (NIS) has concluded that Kim Jong Uns teenage daughter, believed to be around 13 years old and named Ju Ae, is being actively positioned as the next leader of North Korea. Unlike...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Britain Courts Anthropic Amid US Defense Department Dispute

The United Kingdom is actively working to attract Anthropic, the company behind the popular Claude AI app, to expand its footprint in the country. This diplomatic push comes as Anthropic finds itself in the middle of a...

OpenAI Executive Shake-Up Ahead of Anticipated 2026 IPO

OpenAI is navigating a significant leadership restructuring at one of the most pivotal moments in its history. The AI powerhouse confirmed that Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap is transitioning into a newly created...

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...
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