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FxWirePro: Central banks in EM Asia maintain status quo but hedging essential for potential risk in divergence of FX bloc

Mar 22, 2018 12:48 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Fed is sticking to its rate normalization path (hiked with 25 bps, signaled 2 more to go in 2018), on the flip side, for most of Asia, they are in no hurry to play follow the leader. Weve received the central bank...

FxWirePro: BoE unlikely to hike - EUR/GBP major trend stuck in range – Write strangles on shrinking IVs and neutral RRs

Mar 22, 2018 10:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Bank of England is unlikely to increase rates today. However, we do expect a rate rise of 0.25% in May and will be looking to see whether it signals that intention today. Ahead of the November meeting, the BoE signaled...

FxWirePro: Hanging sword on sterling - Stay short GBPCHF in cash, long 1Y EURGBP vol swap

Mar 22, 2018 10:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The weaker than expected inflation in February had briefly caused doubts on the market about an imminent Bank of England (BoE) rate hike. But the doubts were already cast aside by improved wage data yesterday. What matters...

FxWirePro: Low vols indicate hedge but no-hedge - Arrest dollar weakness against yen via options triangle

Mar 22, 2018 07:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Fed unsurprisingly delivered the sixth rate hike in the current cycle. The target range for the federal funds rate is now at 1.50%-1.75%. Considering the recent hawkish turn in Fed communications, markets were more...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on USD/JPY shrinking vols and abrupt rallies to deploy short leg in PRBS on hedging grounds

Mar 22, 2018 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Fed unsurprisingly delivered the sixth rate hike in the current cycle. The target range for the federal funds rate is now at 1.50%-1.75%. Considering the recent hawkish turn in Fed communications, markets were more...

FxWirePro: Umpteen reasons for BCB to be hawkish, handful to be dovish though – RV options trades to hedge BRL

Mar 21, 2018 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Brazilian central bank (BCB) holds monetary policy meeting tonight and would decide on its key rate. Well, thereve been a couple of factors that prompt for a further rate cut but also reasons for a pause. Moderate...

FxWirePro: Drivers and relative value trades for Scandinavian FX basket

Mar 21, 2018 12:45 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We uphold long in NOKSEK in the spot and in option forms as Norway continues to deliver better news with the underlying message being that activity data is improving and inflation is firming, which in combination with a...

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Technology

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