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FxWirePro: Stay long in Swiss franc against dollar in spot, via put versus euro

Mar 14, 2018 10:00 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The Swiss franc has been the key underperformer this week amid the lack of market reaction to the outcome of the Italian elections and despite the ongoing focus on trade tensions. A clearly identifiable fundamental trigger...

FxWirePro: Dual digitals for Antipodeans on central banks' dovishness in APAC

Mar 14, 2018 08:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The Aussie remains somewhat pricey compared to short-term fair value estimates, as yield differentials along the curve move steadily in the US dollars favor. This weight on AUD should only increase over the next year or...

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY OTC bids and FX derivatives hedging strategies ahead of BoE and UK CPI

Mar 14, 2018 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

As for monetary policy, we remain to be convinced that a modest increase in UK rates over and above what is now priced (we expect 50bp this year) will be a game-changer for GBP. Growth may have improved in the UK but the...

FxWirePro: Stay long NOKSEK in spot and in option form on Norwegian inflation

Mar 13, 2018 13:37 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Dear NOK traders, dont get excited prematurely. Only because the inflation target has suddenly been reached with the inflation data for January since Norges Bank lowered its inflation target from 2.5% to 2.0% does not mean...

FxWirePro: Confluence and positioning of trade conflicts and high/low beta dollar correlations via optionality

Mar 13, 2018 12:41 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Chinese trade surplus versus the US amounts to approx. USD 300 billion so one billion is more like a rounding imprecision. Yes, we meant Last week, the trade protectionism theme shot back into focus as a potential...

FxWirePro: Bilateral trade conflicts tilt trade sentiments to alternatives of USD correlation structures

Mar 13, 2018 10:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Have you known the scene from the Austin Powers film where the bad guy Dr. Evil wants to hold the world community to ransom and demands one million dollars? Only when Robert Wagner points out to him that a million isnt...

JGB swap curve shrinks after recently announced Kuroda’s testimony

Mar 13, 2018 10:10 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

JGB and swap curve shifted downward this week. Much of the rally took place on Monday, retracing most of the sell-off last Friday after Kurodas testimony at a lower house hearing. As for the LCH-JSCC spread, a further...

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Economy

South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges 8.2%, Triggers Circuit Breaker Amid Tech Selloff

South Koreas KOSPI index plunged more than 8% on Thursday, triggering a marketwide circuit breaker as a global technology stock selloff accelerated following stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data and growing concerns...

U.S. Treasury Yields Fall as Tech Selloff Sparks Safe-Haven Demand

U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply on Thursday as investors sought safer assets amid a global technology stock selloff, reversing gains triggered by stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data. Despite renewed concerns...

Australia Jobs Fall 39,300 as Unemployment Hits 4.7%

Australias labour market weakened unexpectedly in September, with employment recording a sharp decline and the unemployment rate reaching 4.7%, raising questions about the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) next interest...

EU Leaders Meet to Tackle China Imports, Energy Costs and Budget Disputes

European Union leaders are gathering in Brussels on Thursday for a crucial summit focused on rising Chinese imports, high energy prices and disagreements over the EUs next long-term budget. The meeting brings together...

Oil Prices Drop as U.S. Weighs Easing Shadow Fleet Sanctions

Oil prices declined sharply on Thursday as reports that the United States may ease sanctions on shadow fleet vessels raised expectations of improved global crude supplies. Investors also awaited an International Energy...

Politics

US Proposal to Unfreeze Russian Assets Rejected by Europe

The United States has reportedly proposed a plan to release some frozen Russian sovereign assets and place them under Washingtons supervision as part of efforts to restart peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine,...

Flavio Bolsonaro Leads Lula in Brazil Presidential Runoff Poll

Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of the October 25 presidential runoff election, according to a Quaest opinion poll released Wednesday. The survey showed...

South Korea Warns Changing US Wartime Command Rules Could Delay Transfer

South Korea has warned that repeatedly changing the conditions for transferring wartime operational control from the United States could prevent the long-awaited military command handover, highlighting growing concerns...

Trump Wishes Pope Leo Speedy Recovery After Lung Cancer Diagnosis

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday expressed his hopes for a swift recovery for Pope Leo following the Vaticans announcement that the 71-year-old pontiff had been diagnosed with lung cancer after undergoing surgery....

Trump Announces New Military Super Range in Montana for Advanced Weapons Testing

US President Donald Trump announced plans Wednesday to establish a new military testing facility in Montana, describing the project as a defense super range designed to support the development of advanced weapons and...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Q3 Revenue Surges to $16.8 Billion Ahead of IPO

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic reported a sharp increase in third-quarter revenue and achieved another quarter of profitability as it prepares for a highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO) in November,...

Ericsson Q3 Profit Beats Forecasts as 2027 Cost Risks Loom

Swedish telecommunications equipment manufacturer Ericsson reported a smaller-than-expected decline in third-quarter core profit on Thursday, outperforming market expectations despite persistent challenges in the global...

Taiwan President Urges Micron, Workers to Negotiate Amid Strike Threat

Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te has urged U.S. memory chipmaker Micron Technology and its employees to engage in sincere negotiations as a potential strike threatens operations at one of the companys largest semiconductor...

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....