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FxWirePro: Sterling driving forces, OTC sensitivity analysis and hedging vehicle using FX options strategy

Mar 15, 2018 10:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis

As for monetary policy, we remain to be convinced that a modest increase in UK rates over and above what is now priced (we expect 50bp this year) will be a game-changer for GBP. Growth may have improved in the UK but the...

FxWirePro: Find best value in Antipodean vols via calendar spreads to deal post-event resilience

Mar 15, 2018 09:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis

After US and Swedish CPI prints this week, we reiterate their market-moving potential. Consumer prices in the United States increased 2.2% YoY in February of 2018, slightly above 2.1% in January and in line with market...

FxWirePro: Trade and hedge AUD/NZD via ‘Options Strips’

Mar 15, 2018 07:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDNZD in a neutral state near term, a 1.0700-1.0800 range likely to contain. But in medium-term perspective:We could foresee the potential for a further decline towards 1.06 during the next month, given recent interest...

FxWirePro: What drives bearish AUD/NZD in Q2’2018? FX derivatives strategies

Mar 15, 2018 06:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis

In 2018, the main bearish risk to AUD (aside from China-related weakness) comes from a lift in market volatility. We expect both monetary policy divergence and modestly weaker commodity prices to push the currency lower....

FxWirePro: March appears to be murky for Turkish lira – Uphold long hedge

Mar 14, 2018 14:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Turkish lira has weakened through March and slipped noticeably during trading yesterday, with the TRY basket exchange rate (vs. half EUR, half USD) ending up 2.3% weaker compared with the beginning of March. A number...

FxWirePro: Long EUR/AUD hedge via economical FVA Vega spreads

Mar 14, 2018 12:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In order to take advantage of vol/correlation setup, one could play directionally stronger reserve currency vs. weaker high beta (vs. the USD) via worst-of options. Rich correlations and still generally depressed vols...

FxWirePro: GBP/USD shift in RRs and 1m skews indicate ‘diagonal options straps’ as operative hedging vehicle

Mar 14, 2018 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Lets glance at GBPUSD sensitivity tool, the positive shift in risks reversals that indicate the bullish risks in underlying spot FX prices in near-term. While positively skewed IVs of 1m tenors are well balanced that...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Traders Await Fed Decision; Aussie Dollar Edges Higher

Asian currencies traded mostly flat on Tuesday as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserves policy meeting, which begins later in the day. Market participants are watching closely for signals...

Australian Dollar Rises as RBA Holds Rates and Signals Persistent Inflation Risks

The Australian dollar edged higher after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates unchanged, reinforcing expectations that inflation pressures may persist. The currency rose 0.2% to $0.6639 after the central...

RBA Holds Rates but Warns of Rising Inflation Pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, maintaining its cash rate target at 3.60% as policymakers confront renewed inflation risks. The decision, widely expected by markets, marks the RBAs...

China Warns of Rising Global Risks as Tariff Pressures Intensify in 2025

Chinas Premier Li Qiang cautioned global economic leaders on Tuesday that the mutually destructive consequences of tariffs have grown more visible throughout 2025, urging coordinated action to strengthen international...

Asian Markets Slip as Investors Brace for Fed Rate Cut and Global Policy Decisions

Asian stocks declined on Tuesday as investors positioned themselves ahead of a widely expected U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this week. Market sentiment remained cautious amid a packed schedule of global...

Politics

New Zealand Navy Briefly Encounters Taiwanese Warship During Taiwan Strait Transit

New Zealands largest naval vessel, the HMNZS Aotearoa, made headlines after briefly encountering a Taiwanese warship while sailing through the highly sensitive Taiwan Strait on November 5. The New Zealand Defence Force...

Federal Judge Blocks Trump Administration’s Pause on New Wind-Energy Permits

A federal judge has ruled that the Trump administration failed to justify its decision to halt permitting for new wind-energy projects, delivering a significant victory to states advocating for clean-energy development....

Trump Administration Fuel-Efficiency Rollback Could Raise Long-Term Costs for U.S. Drivers

The Trump administrations proposal to scale back Biden-era fuel-efficiency standards may save automakers billions, but experts warn that American drivers will ultimately pay far more at the pump. Under the new plan, the...

Trump–Kushner Links Raise Concerns as Paramount Pushes $108B Warner Bros Discovery Bid

Paramounts aggressive $108 billion bid for Warner Bros Discovery has ignited one of the biggest media battles in years and drawn intense scrutiny due to financing tied to Jared Kushner, President Donald Trumps son-in-law....

U.S. Military Bill Seeks to End Dependence on China for Display Technology by 2030

The final text of the U.S. National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) released this week includes a significant measure aimed at reducing the Pentagons reliance on foreign countriesparticularly Chinafor electronic display...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Adobe Strengthens AI Strategy Ahead of Q4 Earnings, Says Stifel

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) is heading into its fourth-quarter earnings with a clearer generative AI strategy and improved communication, helping ease a year of investor uncertainty, according to a new note from Stifel analysts....

Australia Enforces World-First Social Media Age Limit as Global Regulation Looms

Australia has officially become the first country to enforce a nationwide minimum age for social media use, requiring major platforms like Instagram, TikTok and YouTube to block users under 16. Starting Wednesday, the new...

SK Hynix Labeled “Investment Warning Stock” After Extraordinary 200% Share Surge

South Koreas stock market regulator has issued a second formal alert on SK Hynix (KS:000660) after the chipmakers share price soared more than 200% over the past year. The Korea Exchange (KRX) designated the company as an...

U.S. Greenlights Nvidia H200 Chip Exports to China With 25% Fee

The United States will permit Nvidias H200 processorsits second-most advanced artificial intelligence chipsto be exported to China, with a 25% fee applied to each sale. President Donald Trump announced the decision on...

US Charges Two Men in Alleged Nvidia Chip Smuggling Scheme to China

U.S. authorities have arrested two men accused of illegally smuggling Nvidias highly sought-after H100 and H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, according to the Justice Department. The case comes as President...