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FxWirePro: Global equity sell-offs prompt FX vols – An EUR/USD hedging perspective

Feb 15, 2018 06:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The violent sell-off in equities has lifted FX vols to fair value. Past vol recovery cycles suggest that the correction has further to run before vols plateau at a higher level. Global equities are now down on the year...

Announcement: Moody's: Azerbaijan's credit profile affected by legacy effects of oil shock and limited diversification, despite rebound in oil prices

Feb 13, 2018 01:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that Azerbaijans (Ba2 stable) GDP growth and fiscal revenue will benefit from higher oil prices, but the legacy effects of the 2014-16 oil shock that significantly and durably hit the...

FxWirePro: Delta calls for USD/TRY hedging on hawkish CBRT’s revised inflationary forecasts

Jan 31, 2018 13:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

In its latest Inflation Report, CBRT did the obvious and revised up its year-end inflation forecast from 7% to 7.9%. But, this compares with market expectations in the 9% range. CBRT also revised up its end-2019 inflation...

FxWirePro: USD/BRL/JPY vega spreads to tackle high beta JPY

Jan 31, 2018 12:37 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The weak US dollar was the chief driver of the bounce, accounting for almost three-quarters of the rise in the value of global reserves. Beyond dollar weakness, global imbalances remain persistent and have been another...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on global crude forecasts turning the table and WTI-Brent spreads

Jan 31, 2018 11:01 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

If you glance through the crude oil prices (Brent) that have risen by 16% especially in 4Q17 and over 13% since mid-December 2017. Given the latest rally swiftly catching up on two of our last upward revisions, we have...

FxWirePro: Deploy debit call spread to hedge WTI crude’s risks ahead of EIA inventory check

Jan 31, 2018 10:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Global crude oil prices have steadied at close to $70/bbl in recent weeks and have pushed to fresh three-year highs while articulating. Current prices have been slightly edgy extending losses into a third session, amid...

FxWirePro: A glimpse though FX options market amid Italian election risks

Jan 31, 2018 08:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is a late swing in the Italian opinion polls in favour of MS5. While holding forecasts unchanged, we have established a decent long EUR position in the macro portfolio (vs JPY, NZD, and an EURUSD proxy). The...

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Economy

Oil Prices Drop as U.S. Weighs Easing Shadow Fleet Sanctions

Oil prices declined sharply on Thursday as reports that the United States may ease sanctions on shadow fleet vessels raised expectations of improved global crude supplies. Investors also awaited an International Energy...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Dollar Retreats From 18-Month High

Asian currencies traded unevenly on Thursday as the U.S. dollar weakened from an 18-month peak, with investors reassessing expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes following stronger-than-expected U.S....

Asian Stocks Plunge as Chip Selloff and US Inflation Fuel Fed Rate Hike Fears

Asian stock markets suffered heavy losses on Thursday, with South Korea and Japan leading a regional selloff as semiconductor stocks plunged amid growing Chinese competition and stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation. South...

US Inflation Surges in September, Raising Fed Rate Hike Bets

U.S. inflation accelerated in September, fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates later this month as Wall Street reacted to stronger-than-expected consumer price pressures. Data released...

Container Ship Sinks in Strait of Hormuz as Iran Attacks Escalate

A Singapore-registered container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday after being hit by an unidentified projectile, triggering a fire and raising fresh concerns over maritime security and global oil shipments....

Politics

Zelensky Says Ukraine Will Resume Strikes on Russian Oil Facilities

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine will resume attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, signaling an end to a temporary suspension of strikes following pressure from the United States. In an...

US Justice Department Drops Prosecution of Ex-CIA Analyst Sue Mi Terry

The US Justice Department has agreed to defer prosecution of former CIA analyst and White House National Security Council official Sue Mi Terry, who was accused of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for South Korea in...

UN Urges Talks on Lebanon Peacekeeping Mission Extension

United Nations peacekeeping chief Jean-Pierre Lacroix has urged the UN Security Council to begin negotiations over the future of UN peacekeepers in Lebanon as the country seeks to extend the missions mandate beyond...

FBI Denies Report of Kash Patel’s Russia Visit

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied reports on Wednesday that Director Kash Patel had traveled to Russia for meetings with Russian intelligence officials, confirming instead that he was attending a law...

Zelenskiy Says Trump’s Support for Russia Is ‘Painful’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed disappointment with US President Donald Trump on Wednesday, describing Washingtons apparent shift toward Russia as painful amid the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war. Speaking...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....

Apple Intelligence Set for China Launch in December With iOS 27.3

Apple Inc. is reportedly preparing to launch its Apple Intelligence artificial intelligence platform in mainland China this December, marking a significant step in expanding its AI services into one of its most important...

BlackRock CEO Warns Data Center Ban Could Trigger US Recession

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned that a nationwide halt to data center construction could push the United States into a recession, highlighting the growing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) investment to the US...

AI Crypto Payments Surge to 138 Million Transactions on Base

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents are increasingly using cryptocurrency to purchase digital services, with more than 138 million transactions recorded through the x402 payment protocol on Coinbases Base blockchain,...