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FxWirePro: USD/MXN calendar spreads to encompass not only NAFTA’s optimism and pessimism but also election risks

Jan 23, 2018 12:53 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The 6th round of the negotiations between Mexico, Canada, and the US about a possible realignment of NAFTA would begin today in Montreal. From the recent past, the lingering optimism about the prolonged existence of the...

FxWirePro: Brexit headwind to persist amid UK trade transition in 2018 – Strategies to deal with EUR/GBP’s IVs and RVs

Jan 23, 2018 12:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The sterling has been particularly subtle to Brexit developments over the last few months. In last month, the EU determined that sufficient progress had been made on divorce-related matters - which included coming to a...

FxWirePro: Bullish euro cash and options trades setup ahead of ECB’s 1st monetary policy in 2018

Jan 23, 2018 11:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

EURUSD levels of 1.2250 suggest that the euro is seen as an attractive alternative to the US dollar by the market. But in this context let us refer to Thursdays ECB meeting. Even if the trade-weighted euro has risen far...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD bullish and bearish scenarios - 3m skews pave way for options strangles

Jan 23, 2018 11:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bullish scenarios: 1) The ECB changes guidance in January/March, heralding an end to QE in Sept and hikes by 1Q19. 2) US corporate repatriation is weaker/slower than expected, 3) Growth 3%. Bearish...

FxWirePro: Hedging Fed’s further hiking cycle and divergence between USD index and rate differentials in 2018

Jan 23, 2018 09:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The dollar is trading about 5% higher, in real terms, than its average level of the last 20 years, and some 23% above the 2011 low. With the global economy Surfing the global expansion, and growth becoming more balanced...

FxWirePro: Euro to prolong rehabilitation in 2018 on streaks of rosy fundamentals, yen to linger underperformance - Valuations and hedging strategies

Jan 23, 2018 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EUR was the best performing major last year (+13% vs USD, +8% on the NEER) as a substantial upswing in the business cycle intersected with a downshift in the political risk cycle. EUR became economically and politically...

FxWirePro: Euro to prolong rehabilitation in 2018 on streaks of rosy fundamentals, yen to linger underperformance - Valuations and hedging strategies

Jan 23, 2018 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

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Economy

US Inflation Surges in September, Raising Fed Rate Hike Bets

U.S. inflation accelerated in September, fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates later this month as Wall Street reacted to stronger-than-expected consumer price pressures. Data released...

Container Ship Sinks in Strait of Hormuz as Iran Attacks Escalate

A Singapore-registered container ship sank in the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday after being hit by an unidentified projectile, triggering a fire and raising fresh concerns over maritime security and global oil shipments....

Wall Street Falls as Hot US Inflation Fuels Fed Rate Hike Bets

Wall Street stocks closed lower on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected US inflation data revived expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, sending Treasury yields higher and pressuring technology shares. The SP...

US Dollar Hits 18-Month High as Inflation Fuels Fed Rate Hike Bets

The U.S. dollar surged on Wednesday, approaching an 18-month high after stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data revived expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates at its October meeting. The U.S....

China Bank Lending Rebounds in September, Beats Forecasts

Chinas new bank lending surged in September, exceeding market expectations as Beijing intensified monetary stimulus measures to support its slowing economy. However, weak annual credit growth continued to highlight subdued...

Politics

US Justice Department Drops Prosecution of Ex-CIA Analyst Sue Mi Terry

The US Justice Department has agreed to defer prosecution of former CIA analyst and White House National Security Council official Sue Mi Terry, who was accused of acting as an unregistered foreign agent for South Korea in...

UN Urges Talks on Lebanon Peacekeeping Mission Extension

United Nations peacekeeping chief Jean-Pierre Lacroix has urged the UN Security Council to begin negotiations over the future of UN peacekeepers in Lebanon as the country seeks to extend the missions mandate beyond...

FBI Denies Report of Kash Patel’s Russia Visit

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) denied reports on Wednesday that Director Kash Patel had traveled to Russia for meetings with Russian intelligence officials, confirming instead that he was attending a law...

Zelenskiy Says Trump’s Support for Russia Is ‘Painful’

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy expressed disappointment with US President Donald Trump on Wednesday, describing Washingtons apparent shift toward Russia as painful amid the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war. Speaking...

Netanyahu Rejects Preemptive Iran Strike Ahead of Israel Election

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday that he opposes launching a preemptive military strike against Iran before Israels October 27 election, while warning Tehran and its regional allies that any attack...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anduril Valuation Hits $90 Billion in Employee Share Sale

Anduril Industries, a leading U.S. defense technology startup, has launched an employee share tender offer that values the company at approximately $90 billion, according to a Bloomberg report published Wednesday. The...

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Open to Cutting Chip Supply Over Unsafe AI

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said the company could stop supplying artificial intelligence chips to customers developing dangerous AI software, although he believes many current concerns about AI safety are exaggerated....

Apple Intelligence Set for China Launch in December With iOS 27.3

Apple Inc. is reportedly preparing to launch its Apple Intelligence artificial intelligence platform in mainland China this December, marking a significant step in expanding its AI services into one of its most important...

BlackRock CEO Warns Data Center Ban Could Trigger US Recession

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned that a nationwide halt to data center construction could push the United States into a recession, highlighting the growing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) investment to the US...

AI Crypto Payments Surge to 138 Million Transactions on Base

Artificial intelligence (AI) agents are increasingly using cryptocurrency to purchase digital services, with more than 138 million transactions recorded through the x402 payment protocol on Coinbases Base blockchain,...