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FxWirePro: Bullish/bearish scenarios and risk events that linger around dollar – EM gamma to spike off on USD puts offloading

Oct 09, 2017 13:26 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The US dollar has been crawling ahead in recent days, with the market-implied probability of a December Fed hike inching to around 80%. The FOMC minutes and US CPI data this week will be in focus. Fed Chair Yellen is also...

FxWirePro: Fair interpretation and forecasting of Mexican peso in contemplation of underlying geopolitical and NAFTA concerns – Hedging Perspectives

Oct 09, 2017 13:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Bullish USDMXN scenario: We could foresee the pair at 19.30 on a disordered NAFTA negotiation, political noise regarding elections and escalation of bilateral relations between Mexico and US. Bearish USDMXN scenario: We...

FxWirePro: Constructive Polish zloty now seems little edgy as EU likely to impost political stress – Stat short in EUR/PLN with astute risk profiling

Oct 09, 2017 12:53 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have now turned modestly constructive on the Zloty, given strong data momentum.The central banks dovish stance is unhelpful, but data may challenge it over coming months. Short-term valuations look cheap, demand for...

FxWirePro: BRL, MXN and ZAR option markets priced in relatively amid lingering political turmoil

Oct 09, 2017 11:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We expect price action to remain supportive for BRL with inflation at 20-year lows and positions seeming less heavy, despite a recent move higher in the currency over the past month. As such, we continue to favor...

FxWirePro: Snippets of optimized hedging portfolios among EMEA FX

Oct 09, 2017 11:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The speed of the correction in EM FX has surprised us, but we remain cautiously pro-carry in our region, given supportive valuations. Over the past two weeks, EM FX weakened sharply across the board (refer above...

FxWirePro: Spot out asymmetry and own cheap gamma in GBP-bloc

Oct 09, 2017 09:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

With increased focus on repricing and reassessment of DM interest rates and monetary policy, G10 FX forecasts have had more revisions than EM FX forecasts in the past month. The better data has prompted our economists to...

FxWirePro: Cable 1m IV skews still bearish biased amid speech over Brexit transition - Deploy diagonal call ladder structures to optimize hedging

Oct 09, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The fifth round of Brexit talks starts this week, with fading hopes that there will be sufficient progress on separation issues in time for the EU leaders meeting later this month. The pound has been under pressure over...

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Economy

New World Screwworm Found Near U.S. Border Raises Threat to Cattle Industry and Beef Prices

A dangerous outbreak of the New World Screwworm has moved closer to the United States, raising serious concerns for the livestock industry and agricultural economy. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA),...

Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Remain Unresolved as Strait of Hormuz Risks Keep Markets on Edge

Iran has rejected suggestions that a final agreement has been reached with the United States, emphasizing that negotiations surrounding its nuclear program remain ongoing. The statement came after comments from U.S....

US Launches New Trade Investigation Into Vietnam Over Intellectual Property Concerns

The United States has initiated a new trade investigation into Vietnams handling of intellectual property (IP) rights, a move that could eventually lead to additional tariffs on Vietnamese imports. The investigation,...

US Dollar Slips as Markets Weigh Potential US-Iran Peace Deal and Oil Price Outlook

The U.S. dollar weakened slightly on Friday as investor confidence improved following comments from President Donald Trump regarding a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran. The prospect of easing...

Oil Prices Fall as Markets Await U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Decision

Oil prices moved lower on Friday as investors closely monitored developments surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Market sentiment weakened after U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would meet with...

Politics

US Southern Command Chief Holds Rare Military Meeting With Cuban Officials at Guantanamo Bay

A rare high-level military meeting between the United States and Cuba took place at the perimeter of the U.S. Naval Station at Guantanamo Bay, marking a significant development in U.S.-Cuba relations amid growing...

Trump Nears Decision on Iran Ceasefire Extension as Key Disputes Remain

U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday that he is close to making a final decision on a proposed agreement to extend the current ceasefire with Iran, although major disagreements between Washington and Tehran continue to...

Poland Considers Revoking Zelensky’s Top Honor Over Controversial UPA Army Unit Recognition

Poland is considering revoking one of its highest state honors awarded to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky after a controversial decision by Ukraine to rename a military unit after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA),...

Trump Signs Executive Order to Expand Access to Federal Lands in the U.S.

U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Friday aimed at removing restrictions that limit access to federal lands across the United States, according to a statement from the White House. The move is part of...

UN Blacklists Israel and Russia Over Conflict-Related Sexual Violence Claims

The United Nations has added Israel and Russia to its official blacklist of parties suspected of committing conflict-related sexual violence, a decision that has sparked strong international reactions and intensified...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

Technology

Kentucky School District Secures $27 Million in Social Media Addiction Lawsuit Settlements

A Kentucky school district has secured nearly $27 million in settlements from major social media companies over allegations that their platforms contributed to a growing student mental health crisis. The financial details,...

MongoDB Q1 FY2027 Earnings Beat Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook

MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, fueled by growing demand for its database platform among enterprises and organizations developing artificial intelligence...

SpaceX IPO Could Become Largest in History with $1.8 Trillion Valuation Target

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly moving forward with plans for a historic initial public offering (IPO), targeting a valuation of at least $1.8 trillion. According to a Bloomberg News report citing sources familiar with the...

Autodesk Beats Q1 Estimates, Acquires MaintainX for $3.6 Billion

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for its fiscal first quarter and announced a major $3.6 billion acquisition of MaintainX, a move that strengthens its position in AI-powered...

US Quantum Stocks Surge After $2 Billion Government Investment

The U.S. Department of Commerce has sparked major excitement across the technology and financial sectors after announcing plans to invest $2 billion into quantum computing and advanced hardware companies through the CHIPS...