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FxWirePro: Polish attempt to resurge on NBP – Chip in EUR/PLN slumps and hedge upside risks via “Diagonal Credit Call Spreads”

Oct 04, 2017 12:40 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Polish central bank held its rate decision today: no change in monetary policy was the consensus. The National Bank of Poland announced its reference rate at a record low of 1.5 pct on October 4th, 2017, as widely...

FxWirePro: GBP/EUR/CHF vols spreads seem to be lucrative carry trades

Oct 04, 2017 12:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The somewhat panicky unwinding of Euro (and other European FX) longs might leave macro investors less willing to spend option premium to play for EUR resurgence. In this situation, if one had to pick one Eurobloc currency...

FxWirePro: Euro to prolong bullish rout despite lingering European politics to engulf, IVs tepid but skews to substantiate – EUR/AUD call ladders to optimize hedging

Oct 04, 2017 10:53 am UTC| Research & Analysis

In Europe, the focus will continue to be on political developments in Spain, as the Catalonian parliament is increasingly likely to declare independence in the coming days. Hence, tensions are likely to rise further before...

FxWirePro: Driving forces to establish ‘triangular conflations’ in Yen shorts

Oct 04, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The fate of the greenback depends on much more on a far more important issue at present: Janet Yellens successor as Fed Chair. The FOMCs monetary policy decisions are not taken at the Chairs discretion. But lets not fool...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY call RKOs on its efficient recital, Uphold gutsy strategy to arrest further dubious upside risks

Oct 04, 2017 07:11 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Weve already advocated call reverse knock out spreads for EURJPY as the underlying spot FX seemed to have been exhausted. Consequently, weve seen bearish effects in the recent past. Please be noted that the implied vols...

FxWirePro: Dual EMFX RVs to capitalize on petro sensitivity

Oct 03, 2017 13:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The speed of the correction in EM FX has surprised us, but we remain cautiously pro-carry in our region, given supportive valuations. Among EM currencies, MXN vs. RUB is an interesting skew pair trade to...

FxWirePro: RBA maintains status quo not only in cash rates but forecasts, AUD IVs shrinks but bearish hedging sentiments mounting after Aussie central bank

Oct 03, 2017 12:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Sometimes you have to repeat something again and again for it to be understood. This is what the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is experiencing at the moment. Since August, the RBA has taken an aggressive verbal stance...

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Economy

U.S. Job Market Braces for Slow Recovery Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. labor market is expected to post modest gains in March, recovering from Februarys sharp drop of 92,000 jobs, but persistent headwinds are keeping economists cautious. A Reuters poll forecasts nonfarm payrolls...

Bank of Japan Eyes Further Rate Hikes Amid Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures

A senior Bank of Japan official reaffirmed the central banks commitment to continuing its interest rate hike cycle, while closely monitoring how the ongoing Middle East conflict is shaping Japans economic outlook and...

Japan Signals Readiness to Intervene as Yen Weakens Toward 160 Per Dollar

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued a stern warning to currency traders on Friday, signaling that Tokyo is prepared to take decisive action against what officials describe as speculative behavior driving...

China's Services Sector Maintains Growth Streak Despite March Slowdown

Chinas services industry continued to expand in March, though at a notably slower pace, as weakening demand and ongoing workforce reductions tempered activity across the sector. According to the latest RatingDog Services...

U.S. Stock Futures Stabilize Ahead of Good Friday as Investors Eye Jobs Report

U.S. stock index futures held steady Thursday evening as markets entered a cautious holding pattern before the Good Friday holiday closure, with traders weighing Middle East tensions and positioning ahead of a critical...

Politics

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate as Tehran Fortifies Key Energy Infrastructure

As geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran intensify, Tehran is ramping up its military readiness in anticipation of a potential ground operation on its soil. According to reports from the Wall Street...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

First Western Ship Transits Strait of Hormuz Since Iran War Began

A container vessel operated by French shipping giant CMA CGM has become the first Western-linked ship to successfully navigate the Strait of Hormuz since the outbreak of the Iran war in late February, signaling a cautious...

Trump Fires Attorney General Pam Bondi Over Epstein Files and Slow Prosecutions

President Donald Trump removed Attorney General Pam Bondi from her position on Thursday, ending a tenure marked by controversy and growing frustration from the White House. Sources familiar with the matter say Trump had...

Ukraine Frontline Holds Firm as Zelenskyy Claims March Offensive Successfully Repelled

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy declared this week that the countrys frontline situation is the strongest it has been in ten months, crediting the Ukrainian armed forces with successfully neutralizing a major...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...

Australia's Social Media Ban for Under-16s Sparks Global Movement

Australias landmark social media ban for users under 16, which took effect in December, is reshaping digital policy conversations worldwide. Countries including Spain and Malaysia have signaled interest in adopting similar...

SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO at $1.75 Trillion Valuation

Elon Musks aerospace giant SpaceX has quietly filed a confidential IPO registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Bloomberg News sources familiar with the matter. The move signals that the...

Annie Altman Amends Sexual Abuse Lawsuit Against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

Annie Altman has filed an amended civil lawsuit against her brother, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of sexually abusing her over a span of nearly a decade. The amended complaint was submitted Wednesday in St. Louis...

TSMC Japan's Second Fab to Produce 3nm Chips by 2028

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker, has confirmed plans to begin equipment installation and mass production of 3-nanometre wafers at its second fabrication plant in...
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