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FxWirePro: Luring Vega longs in AUD/USD as IV skews move in tandem with RRs ahead of RBA – Hedge using Reverse Put Spreads

Sep 26, 2017 07:38 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We reckon the USD rebound appears to be stalling despite the upbeat US CPI and the rate expectations have remained largely unchanged. A rate hike in December is still only priced in at only two thirds to give US yields an...

FxWirePro: Aussie seems edgy ahead of cash rates, what drives RBA to remain on hold?

Sep 26, 2017 07:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

RBA is scheduled for its cash rates announcement on Oct 2nd, the consensus for this monetary policy is to maintain status quo. Well, if the Aussie central bank remains firmly on hold, as we expect, and the US dollar...

FxWirePro: China seems risky venture, Escalating risk premium and rationale hedging amid North Korean potential threats

Sep 25, 2017 13:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Escalating risk premium: The rise in geostrategic tensions on the Korean peninsula has certainly impacted domestic market sentiment. The risk aversion around this issue can still rise further and broaden. For EM Asia...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on EM Asian rates and FX derivatives

Sep 25, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Two years on from Chinas melodramatic currency regime (devaluation mechanism of its currency) in August 2015, the event prolongs to cast a long shadow over the foreign exchange market since then. The considerable downward...

FxWirePro: Wise hedging schemes for KRW amid North Korean tail risks

Sep 25, 2017 12:24 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The demand for some protection in Korean assets is evident in risk reversals in the FX market. But after visiting Asian based investors last week there is a clear preference to fade the risk and harvest the vol/skew...

FxWirePro: How to perceive compression of dollar risk reversals - Writing deep OTM far-month USD puts wise way for aggressive bears

Sep 25, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Federal Reserve offered up a clearly hawkish monetary policy - confounding markets skepticism and staging the Dollar Risk trends are perhaps at greatest risk of volatility moving forward post-Fed QE plans, but it...

FxWirePro: BI outpaces rate cut; IDR drifts in narrow range – Hedge USD/IDR upside risks via 3m NDFs

Sep 25, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We discuss the reasons behind USDIDR stability but see a modest rise towards year-end 2017. In addition, we believe the INR is sensitive to the more hawkish tones emanating from other major central banks and is exposed to...

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Economy

U.S. Job Market Braces for Slow Recovery Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. labor market is expected to post modest gains in March, recovering from Februarys sharp drop of 92,000 jobs, but persistent headwinds are keeping economists cautious. A Reuters poll forecasts nonfarm payrolls...

Bank of Japan Eyes Further Rate Hikes Amid Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures

A senior Bank of Japan official reaffirmed the central banks commitment to continuing its interest rate hike cycle, while closely monitoring how the ongoing Middle East conflict is shaping Japans economic outlook and...

Japan Signals Readiness to Intervene as Yen Weakens Toward 160 Per Dollar

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama issued a stern warning to currency traders on Friday, signaling that Tokyo is prepared to take decisive action against what officials describe as speculative behavior driving...

China's Services Sector Maintains Growth Streak Despite March Slowdown

Chinas services industry continued to expand in March, though at a notably slower pace, as weakening demand and ongoing workforce reductions tempered activity across the sector. According to the latest RatingDog Services...

U.S. Stock Futures Stabilize Ahead of Good Friday as Investors Eye Jobs Report

U.S. stock index futures held steady Thursday evening as markets entered a cautious holding pattern before the Good Friday holiday closure, with traders weighing Middle East tensions and positioning ahead of a critical...

Politics

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate as Tehran Fortifies Key Energy Infrastructure

As geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran intensify, Tehran is ramping up its military readiness in anticipation of a potential ground operation on its soil. According to reports from the Wall Street...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

First Western Ship Transits Strait of Hormuz Since Iran War Began

A container vessel operated by French shipping giant CMA CGM has become the first Western-linked ship to successfully navigate the Strait of Hormuz since the outbreak of the Iran war in late February, signaling a cautious...

Trump Fires Attorney General Pam Bondi Over Epstein Files and Slow Prosecutions

President Donald Trump removed Attorney General Pam Bondi from her position on Thursday, ending a tenure marked by controversy and growing frustration from the White House. Sources familiar with the matter say Trump had...

Ukraine Frontline Holds Firm as Zelenskyy Claims March Offensive Successfully Repelled

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy declared this week that the countrys frontline situation is the strongest it has been in ten months, crediting the Ukrainian armed forces with successfully neutralizing a major...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...

Australia's Social Media Ban for Under-16s Sparks Global Movement

Australias landmark social media ban for users under 16, which took effect in December, is reshaping digital policy conversations worldwide. Countries including Spain and Malaysia have signaled interest in adopting similar...

SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO at $1.75 Trillion Valuation

Elon Musks aerospace giant SpaceX has quietly filed a confidential IPO registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Bloomberg News sources familiar with the matter. The move signals that the...

Annie Altman Amends Sexual Abuse Lawsuit Against OpenAI CEO Sam Altman

Annie Altman has filed an amended civil lawsuit against her brother, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, accusing him of sexually abusing her over a span of nearly a decade. The amended complaint was submitted Wednesday in St. Louis...

TSMC Japan's Second Fab to Produce 3nm Chips by 2028

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the worlds leading contract chipmaker, has confirmed plans to begin equipment installation and mass production of 3-nanometre wafers at its second fabrication plant in...