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FxWirePro: Sterling’s OTC indications move in sync with forecasts

Jul 28, 2017 07:29 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Before we begin with this write u, lets just glance through GBP IV skews and delta risk reversals of GBP crosses. Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of GBPJPY of 6m tenors signify the hedgers interests in...

FxWirePro: Judicious interpretations of GBP/JPY vols convexity and skewness

Jul 28, 2017 06:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of GBPJPY of 1m tenors signify the hedgers interests in OTM put strikes. Whereas IVs of these tenors are just shy above 9.12% which is highest among G7 currency space, while...

FxWirePro: USD against EM Asian baskets - Deploy USD/CNH calendar straddles on Yuan’s mild stiffness

Jul 27, 2017 13:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Against the backdrop of continued USD weakness, USDCNY dipped below 6.74 this morning, although the PBoC set the fixing rate even lower at 6.7307. Yesterday afternoon, we saw decent selling USD flows from corporates in...

FxWirePro: Buy USD/RUB knock-in call spreads on hopes of CBR’s dovish rhetoric

Jul 27, 2017 11:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

USDRUB is up from yesterdays lows of 55.9615 to the current 59.3750, while EURRUB rose 1.27% to 69.5690 while articulating. For now, the spot long USDRUB trade recommendations are not encouraged, for a profit of 4.15%...

FxWirePro: Is skew-ATM volatility of USD/RUB justifiable? Menace of US sanction on Russia drives CBR dovishness

Jul 27, 2017 10:28 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The planned US sanctions against Russia mark a new low in the political relations between the two countries. The US legislation projects new sanctions against state-owned Russian companies in the mining, metal, shipping...

FxWirePro: Fundamental drivers and valuations of USD/JPY

Jul 27, 2017 08:26 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The US Fed left policy unchanged yesterday evening, as expected, but the accompanying statement did express more concern about the recent softness in prices. The FOMC statement seems to have been the trigger rather than...

FxWirePro: What-if scenarios of USD/JPY – Bid positive shifts in RR for deploying OTM put writing in debit put spreads

Jul 27, 2017 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Today many analysts will give in to the temptation of putting the impressive collapse of the USD we are currently seeing down to the small changes in the FOMC statement. Well, the changes related to (a) the planned...

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Economy

UAE's Largest Natural Gas Facility Suspended After Attack-Triggered Fire

Abu Dhabi authorities have temporarily halted operations at Habshan, the United Arab Emirates largest natural gas processing facility, following a devastating attack that triggered a major fire at the site. The incident...

Trump's FY2027 Budget: Major Defense Boost and Domestic Spending Cuts

President Donald Trump has unveiled a bold federal budget proposal for fiscal year 2027, signaling a dramatic realignment of national spending priorities. The plan centers on a significant expansion of military funding...

U.S. Warplane Shot Down by Iran Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict

A U.S. military aircraft was shot down by Iranian forces on Friday, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing five-week conflict between the United States, Israel, and Iran. Both nations confirmed the incident, with...

U.S. Job Market Braces for Slow Recovery Amid Middle East Tensions and Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. labor market is expected to post modest gains in March, recovering from Februarys sharp drop of 92,000 jobs, but persistent headwinds are keeping economists cautious. A Reuters poll forecasts nonfarm payrolls...

Bank of Japan Eyes Further Rate Hikes Amid Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures

A senior Bank of Japan official reaffirmed the central banks commitment to continuing its interest rate hike cycle, while closely monitoring how the ongoing Middle East conflict is shaping Japans economic outlook and...

Politics

U.S. F-15E Shot Down Over Iran: One Crew Member Recovered Amid Escalating Conflict

A United States F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jet has been shot down over Iranian territory, marking the first confirmed incident of its kind since the start of the nearly five-week conflict between the U.S., Israel, and...

Judge Blocks DOJ Subpoenas in Federal Reserve Investigation, Delaying Powell Succession

A federal judge in Washington, D.C. has once again ruled against the Justice Departments efforts to revive a criminal investigation targeting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, dealing another significant blow to what...

Congo in Talks With Trump Administration to Accept Third-Country Deportees

The Democratic Republic of Congo is reportedly in discussions with the Trump administration about accepting deportees from third countries individuals who are not Congolese nationals but were living in the United States...

Russia's Easter Strikes Kill Multiple Civilians Across Ukraine

In a significant escalation of its ongoing war against Ukraine, Russia launched a massive daytime strike on Friday, killing at least six people across multiple regions, including Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Donetsk, and Kharkiv....

Iran Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Proposal Amid Ongoing Tensions

An unnamed source revealed to Irans semi-official Fars news agency on Friday that Tehran has turned down a ceasefire proposal put forward by the United States. According to the source, the offer was extended on Wednesday...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...

MATCH Act Targets ASML and Chinese Chipmakers in New U.S. Export Crackdown

A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers has unveiled the MATCH Act, a landmark piece of draft legislation designed to tighten export restrictions on advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment destined for China. The...

Microsoft's $10 Billion Japan Investment: AI Infrastructure and Data Sovereignty Push

Microsoft is set to pour approximately $10 billion into Japan between now and 2029, channeling funds into data center expansion and artificial intelligence infrastructure to meet the countrys growing demand for data...

Australia's Social Media Ban for Under-16s Sparks Global Movement

Australias landmark social media ban for users under 16, which took effect in December, is reshaping digital policy conversations worldwide. Countries including Spain and Malaysia have signaled interest in adopting similar...

SpaceX Eyes Historic IPO at $1.75 Trillion Valuation

Elon Musks aerospace giant SpaceX has quietly filed a confidential IPO registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Bloomberg News sources familiar with the matter. The move signals that the...
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