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FxWirePro: Don’t miss one-off opportunity – a run through on USD/CNH reverse spreads

Jun 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The sharp appreciation of CNH was a major development in FX markets this week. Coming on the heels of a change in the PBoCs daily USD/CNY fix mechanism the previous Friday, markets seem to have interpreted these moves as...

FxWirePro: CNH vols expressions via vega neutral straddles and vols spreads

Jun 06, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The sharp appreciation of CNH was a major development in FX markets this week. Our working assumption is that the velocity, if not the extent of additional CNY strength will moderate going forward but not reverse...

FxWirePro: Worthy delta hedging lures EUR/USD as ECB heads to hawkish tone but changed forward guidance less likely

Jun 06, 2017 10:29 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We expect a hawkish tone from theECBat the meeting in June after it was perceived as slightly dovish at the latest meeting. A lot of speculation among market participants has been on whether theECBwill change its...

FxWirePro: Short risk premium and calendar spreads as front-end vol spikes, nosedive in risk reversals overdone after CNH fireworks

Jun 06, 2017 10:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The sharp appreciation of CNH was a major development in FX markets this week. Coming on the heels of a change in the PBoCs daily USDCNY fix mechanism the previous Friday, markets seem to have interpreted these moves as...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on shrinking AUD/USD IVs and bearish RR to arrest downside risks - Writing exorbitant puts for wise hedging via “Reverse Put Spreads”

Jun 06, 2017 08:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSD contained in a 0.7600-0.7700 range. AUDUSD medium term perspectives: Although the pair bounces off the 0.7450, the upside area should be limited to 0.7600. RBA has limited the downside on AUDUSD during the next...

FxWirePro: Why is market vol so low despite global monetary policy season?

Jun 06, 2017 06:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Within next fortnight or so, we have series of monetary policy meetings lined up. A very low supply of economic surprises currently is by itself enough to explain the low level of market volatility. RBAs cash rate today...

FxWirePro: Macro trade recommendations – Stay short in AUD vs CHF and EUR, long in CHF vs USD

Jun 05, 2017 14:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

AUD money markets rates have rallied by more than any other G10 currency over the past month (see above chart). In the process, the front-end of the curve has inverted again as rate cuts have started to be priced again...

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Economy

UK Retail Sales Rise as World Cup and Heatwave Boost Food, Pubs and Clothing

British consumers increased spending on food, pubs and clothing in July, supported by Englands run to the World Cup semi-finals and unusually hot weather. However, shoppers remained cautious about larger purchases as...

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...