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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CNH vols seem exorbitant, USD/CNH double no touch with striking risk-reward match even for range-bounded trend

Jan 20, 2017 09:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Short volatility structures are appealing given the high cost of implied versus realized vols. Limited loss structures are also preferred. Since August 2015, the historical probability of the USDCNH breaching the knock-out...

FxWirePro: More headwinds in 2017 to substantiate AUD OTC bids – Aussie dollar still looking for southward targets

Jan 20, 2017 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The two main risks to our bearish AUD view are that (1) the currency is dragged higher in a more sustained re-rating of the global growth outlookand that (2) better global news and some signs of housing resilience see the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: How about getting extra leverage in USD/JPY via a global knock-in

Jan 19, 2017 13:33 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The promise of an inflationary US policy mix impressively propelled the USDJPY to 118. The pullback has been sharp and it is now time to take a step back. Buying regular knock-in calls despite negative skew: A negative...

FxWirePro: GBP cheaper among G10 but Scandis seem more economical over sterling

Jan 19, 2017 12:50 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Commentary

GBP appears to be the cheapest among G10 space on this framework cross-section ally, but still, has room to weaken further relative to its history. GBP has been one of the underperformers within G10 over the past two...

FxWirePro: Yellen’s hawkish tone keeps AUD/USD’s major bearish trend intact, OTC bids still conducive for OTM puts in PRBS as optimal hedging

Jan 19, 2017 09:21 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs higher IV with negative delta risk reversal can be interpreted as an opportunity for put longs as the market reckons the price has downside potential for large movement in the days to come which is resulting option...

Moody's: Asia bond covenant quality score for Q4 2016 strongest since Q3 2014

Jan 19, 2017 08:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the average covenant quality score for high-yield bonds in Asia during Q4 2016 was the strongest since Q3 2014. The average covenant quality score for Asian high-yield bonds issued in...

FxWirePro: Aussie gains bank on Chinese data and meager dollar but bearish-neutral risk reversals and IV skews still bid for OTM puts

Jan 19, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Aussie continues to gain background support from solid Chinese bulk prices and the general correction in USD, though a short-term peak appears to be in place at 0.7570. Should risk aversion build, the 0.7430-50 should...

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Economy

New World Screwworm Found Near U.S. Border Raises Threat to Cattle Industry and Beef Prices

A dangerous outbreak of the New World Screwworm has moved closer to the United States, raising serious concerns for the livestock industry and agricultural economy. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA),...

Iran-U.S. Nuclear Talks Remain Unresolved as Strait of Hormuz Risks Keep Markets on Edge

Iran has rejected suggestions that a final agreement has been reached with the United States, emphasizing that negotiations surrounding its nuclear program remain ongoing. The statement came after comments from U.S....

US Launches New Trade Investigation Into Vietnam Over Intellectual Property Concerns

The United States has initiated a new trade investigation into Vietnams handling of intellectual property (IP) rights, a move that could eventually lead to additional tariffs on Vietnamese imports. The investigation,...

US Dollar Slips as Markets Weigh Potential US-Iran Peace Deal and Oil Price Outlook

The U.S. dollar weakened slightly on Friday as investor confidence improved following comments from President Donald Trump regarding a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran. The prospect of easing...

Oil Prices Fall as Markets Await U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Decision

Oil prices moved lower on Friday as investors closely monitored developments surrounding a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Market sentiment weakened after U.S. President Donald Trump stated that he would meet with...

Politics

US Southern Command Chief Holds Rare Military Meeting With Cuban Officials at Guantanamo Bay

A rare high-level military meeting between the United States and Cuba took place at the perimeter of the U.S. Naval Station at Guantanamo Bay, marking a significant development in U.S.-Cuba relations amid growing...

Trump Nears Decision on Iran Ceasefire Extension as Key Disputes Remain

U.S. President Donald Trump said Friday that he is close to making a final decision on a proposed agreement to extend the current ceasefire with Iran, although major disagreements between Washington and Tehran continue to...

Poland Considers Revoking Zelensky’s Top Honor Over Controversial UPA Army Unit Recognition

Poland is considering revoking one of its highest state honors awarded to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky after a controversial decision by Ukraine to rename a military unit after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA),...

Trump Signs Executive Order to Expand Access to Federal Lands in the U.S.

U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Friday aimed at removing restrictions that limit access to federal lands across the United States, according to a statement from the White House. The move is part of...

UN Blacklists Israel and Russia Over Conflict-Related Sexual Violence Claims

The United Nations has added Israel and Russia to its official blacklist of parties suspected of committing conflict-related sexual violence, a decision that has sparked strong international reactions and intensified...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

Technology

Kentucky School District Secures $27 Million in Social Media Addiction Lawsuit Settlements

A Kentucky school district has secured nearly $27 million in settlements from major social media companies over allegations that their platforms contributed to a growing student mental health crisis. The financial details,...

MongoDB Q1 FY2027 Earnings Beat Expectations, Raises Full-Year Outlook

MongoDB (NASDAQ: MDB) delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter fiscal 2027 results, fueled by growing demand for its database platform among enterprises and organizations developing artificial intelligence...

SpaceX IPO Could Become Largest in History with $1.8 Trillion Valuation Target

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly moving forward with plans for a historic initial public offering (IPO), targeting a valuation of at least $1.8 trillion. According to a Bloomberg News report citing sources familiar with the...

Autodesk Beats Q1 Estimates, Acquires MaintainX for $3.6 Billion

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) reported stronger-than-expected financial results for its fiscal first quarter and announced a major $3.6 billion acquisition of MaintainX, a move that strengthens its position in AI-powered...

US Quantum Stocks Surge After $2 Billion Government Investment

The U.S. Department of Commerce has sparked major excitement across the technology and financial sectors after announcing plans to invest $2 billion into quantum computing and advanced hardware companies through the CHIPS...