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Worrisome Signs Series

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Economic activity across the globe is slowing down, and a set of signs are pointing the global economic crisis is probably getting deeper. In this exclusive series we highlight signals from financial market and economy that are hoisting some red flags like market crash, recession over the future growth. Omens indicated in the series of articles however not intended to worry investors and readers but to ring an alarm on what might lie ahead.

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: US recession 100 basis points away?

Feb 12, 2016 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Yes you are reading it right. US treasury market, which has been a successful predictor of US recession in the past is just shy of 100 basis points from indicating a recession. Since 2014, due to lower oil price and...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – US business cycle coming to end?

Jan 14, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Last time US faced business cycle contraction dates back to 2007, at a time of great recession, which finally ended in June 2009 and it has been expanding since then. Though it is very difficult to gauge how the world...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – Global corporate defaults hit highest since 2008/09 crisis era

Jan 05, 2016 11:06 am UTC| Commentary

According to data from Standard Poor rating agency, global corporate defaults are on the rise and in 2015, it has hit highest since 2009. According 34 year history, as shown in figure default rates move up during...

Worrisome Signs Series

US December ISM manufacturing index signals further contraction

Jan 05, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

US ISM manufacturing index dropped to 48.2 in December, which marks second month of outright contraction in national manufacturing activity. This release was below consensus expectations of 49.0. This report, which is...

Worrisome Signs Series

China Crisis Series

Chinese stock plunge and next day move – lessons from history

Jan 05, 2016 06:46 am UTC| Commentary

Chinese stock market facing heavy swings today. From more than 3% down to almost 1% up and again back to red, down -2%. Despite all the swings, todays move is relatively small compared to yesterday circuit breaking 7%...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series – S&P 500 EPS poses grave concern

Dec 24, 2015 12:39 pm UTC| Commentary

In this series, we have been warning of some worrying signs in US financial market and economy some of which are showing increased risk of recession, others are pointing at an inevitable large correction in SP 500 (if not...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series – is TBS pointing to impending recession in US?

Dec 24, 2015 10:38 am UTC| Commentary

In our previous discussion of Total Business Sales (TBS) of US, released US Census Bureau, we pointed its divergence with SP 500s rise. TBS growth has fallen and staying below zero since January this year and SPs alignment...

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Economy

Trade Wars Heat Up: EU and China Push Back Against US Tariffs

The European Union is in trade talks with the United States to ease trade tensions and has concluded a zero-for-zero tariff agreement on industrial products. The proposal is for reciprocal removal of tariffs, but the EU is...

Taiwan Open to U.S. Tariff Talks Amid Market Volatility

Taiwans Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung stated Tuesday that the island is ready to engage in tariff negotiations with the United States at any time, aiming to ease trade tensions that recently rocked financial markets. His...

South Korea Eyes Increased U.S. Imports to Ease Trade Tensions Amid Tariff Dispute

South Koreas Trade Minister Cheong In-kyo announced Tuesday that Seoul is actively considering measures to boost imports from the United States in response to escalating trade tensions and new U.S. tariffs. As he traveled...

Trump Defends Tariffs Amid Market Sell-Off, Signals Openness to Trade Talks

President Donald Trump is standing firm on his controversial tariff policy, even as global markets reel. During a joint press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump indicated that new reciprocal...

U.S. Futures Surge After Market Volatility Amid Trump Tariff Speculation

U.S. stock index futures rose sharply Monday evening following a volatile trading session driven by tariff rumors and policy uncertainty. As of 20:02 ET (00:02 GMT), SP 500 Futures climbed 1.1% to 5,151.50, Nasdaq 100...

Politics

DHS Offers Voluntary Resignation and Buyouts Up to $25K Amid Workforce Shift

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is offering employees voluntary resignation, early retirement, or buyouts of up to $25,000 as part of a new workforce transition initiative. According to an internal memo sent...

DOJ Repeals Biden-Era Gun Dealer Policy Amid Controversy

The U.S. Department of Justice has repealed a Biden-era zero tolerance policy that mandated the revocation of licenses for gun dealers who willfully committed serious violations, including failing to conduct background...

UN World Food Program Urges Reinstatement of US Funding Amid Global Hunger Crisis

The UN World Food Program (WFP) has raised alarm after the US administration abruptly ended emergency food assistance funding for 14 countries. As the worlds largest provider of food aid, the WFP warns that the cuts could...

U.S. and India Discuss Trade Tariffs Amid Ongoing Bilateral Deal Talks

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar held a phone call on Monday to address escalating trade tensions, focusing on U.S. tariffs on Indian imports and efforts toward a fair...

Japan’s Akazawa Tipped as U.S. Trade Negotiator Amid Currency and Tariff Talks

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is expected to nominate Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa as the countrys lead trade negotiator with the United States, according to FNN television. However, Akazawa said during a press...

Science

AstraZeneca’s Imfinzi Gets US Approval for Bladder Cancer Treatment

AstraZenecas drug Imfinzi (NASDAQ: AZN) has received U.S. approval to treat adult patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, a significant advancement in cancer therapy. The approval allows Imfinzi to be used in...

Sanofi’s New Hemophilia Drug Qfitlia Gains FDA Approval with Breakthrough Bimonthly Dosing

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved Qfitlia, a groundbreaking hemophilia treatment by French pharmaceutical giant Sanofi (NASDAQ: SNY). Designed for patients aged 12 and older with hemophilia A or B,...

FDA Vaccine Chief Peter Marks Resigns Amid Controversy Over Transparency

Peter Marks, the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations (FDA) top vaccine official, has resigned after reportedly being forced out by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), according to The Wall Street Journal....

What are the chances an asteroid will impact Earth in 2032?

For a few days in mid-February, headlines around the world buzzed about the potential for an asteroid to hit the Earth in 2032 specifically, asteroid 2024 YR4. The chance of this impact rose to a high of 3.1 per cent on...

A new study reveals the structure of violent winds 1,300 light years away

The planet WASP-121b is extreme. Its a gas giant almost twice as big as Jupiter orbiting extremely close to its star50 times closer than the Earth does around the Sun. WASP-121b is so close to its star that tidal forces...

Technology

Telegram Fined $80K by Moscow Court for Extremist Content Refusal

A Moscow court has fined Telegram Messenger Inc. 7 million roubles (approximately $80,000) for refusing to remove content allegedly promoting extremist activities, according to Russian state news agency TASS. Court...

Meta Unveils Llama 4 Maverick and Scout, Boosts AI Ambitions

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) has unveiled its latest AI modelsLlama 4 Maverick and Llama 4 Scoutcalling them its most advanced large language models (LLMs) to date. Designed as multimodal AI systems, they can process and...

Elon Musk’s Lawsuit Against OpenAI Heads to Jury Trial in 2026

Elon Musks high-profile lawsuit against OpenAI is set for a jury trial in spring 2026, as ruled by Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California. The case centers on Musks...

Intel, TSMC Eye Joint Venture Amid U.S. Chip Industry Crisis

Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are in early talks to form a joint venture to manage Intels U.S. chip factories, according to The Information. TSMC is expected to take a 20% stake in the new entity....

SpaceX, ULA, and Blue Origin Win $13.5B in Space Force Launch Contracts

The U.S. Space Force has awarded $13.5 billion in rocket launch contracts through 2029 to SpaceX, United Launch Alliance (ULA), and Blue Origin under its National Security Space Launch (NSSL) Phase 3 program. This...