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Economic activity across the globe is slowing down, and a set of signs are pointing the global economic crisis is probably getting deeper. In this exclusive series we highlight signals from financial market and economy that are hoisting some red flags like market crash, recession over the future growth. Omens indicated in the series of articles however not intended to worry investors and readers but to ring an alarm on what might lie ahead.

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: US recession 100 basis points away?

Feb 12, 2016 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Yes you are reading it right. US treasury market, which has been a successful predictor of US recession in the past is just shy of 100 basis points from indicating a recession. Since 2014, due to lower oil price and...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – US business cycle coming to end?

Jan 14, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Last time US faced business cycle contraction dates back to 2007, at a time of great recession, which finally ended in June 2009 and it has been expanding since then. Though it is very difficult to gauge how the world...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – Global corporate defaults hit highest since 2008/09 crisis era

Jan 05, 2016 11:06 am UTC| Commentary

According to data from Standard Poor rating agency, global corporate defaults are on the rise and in 2015, it has hit highest since 2009. According 34 year history, as shown in figure default rates move up during...

Worrisome Signs Series

US December ISM manufacturing index signals further contraction

Jan 05, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

US ISM manufacturing index dropped to 48.2 in December, which marks second month of outright contraction in national manufacturing activity. This release was below consensus expectations of 49.0. This report, which is...

Worrisome Signs Series

China Crisis Series

Chinese stock plunge and next day move – lessons from history

Jan 05, 2016 06:46 am UTC| Commentary

Chinese stock market facing heavy swings today. From more than 3% down to almost 1% up and again back to red, down -2%. Despite all the swings, todays move is relatively small compared to yesterday circuit breaking 7%...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series – S&P 500 EPS poses grave concern

Dec 24, 2015 12:39 pm UTC| Commentary

In this series, we have been warning of some worrying signs in US financial market and economy some of which are showing increased risk of recession, others are pointing at an inevitable large correction in SP 500 (if not...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series – is TBS pointing to impending recession in US?

Dec 24, 2015 10:38 am UTC| Commentary

In our previous discussion of Total Business Sales (TBS) of US, released US Census Bureau, we pointed its divergence with SP 500s rise. TBS growth has fallen and staying below zero since January this year and SPs alignment...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Hold Firm as Dollar Rebounds on Fed Chair Nomination Hopes

Asian currencies traded in a narrow range on Friday as the U.S. dollar rebounded modestly from a near four-year low, following comments from U.S. President Donald Trump that he would announce his nominee for the next...

Canada’s Trade Deficit Jumps in November as Exports Slide and Firms Diversify Away From U.S.

Canada recorded a sharp increase in its monthly international trade deficit in November as merchandise exports fell significantly, highlighting ongoing challenges tied to trade diversification and U.S. tariff uncertainty....

U.S. Eases Venezuela Oil Sanctions to Boost American Investment After Maduro Ouster

The Trump administration has eased select sanctions on Venezuelas oil industry, signaling a major policy shift aimed at encouraging U.S. investment following the ouster of President Nicolás Maduro earlier this...

Oil Prices Surge Toward Biggest Monthly Gains in Years Amid Middle East Tensions

Oil prices are heading for their largest monthly gains in years as escalating Middle East tensions fuel concerns over potential supply disruptions, particularly involving Iran, one of the worlds largest OPEC producers....

Indonesia Stocks Face Fragile Sentiment After MSCI Warning and Market Rout

Indonesia stocks are set for a cautious start as investor sentiment remains fragile following a sharp market selloff triggered by concerns raised by MSCI. The Jakarta Composite Index suffered its steepest two-day decline...

Politics

Panama Supreme Court Voids CK Hutchison Port Concessions, Raising Geopolitical and Trade Concerns

Panamas Supreme Court has ruled unconstitutional the port concession contracts held by Panama Ports Company, a subsidiary of Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison Holdings (HK:0001), effectively voiding its rights to operate two of...

Trump Threatens Aircraft Tariffs as U.S.-Canada Jet Certification Dispute Escalates

U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified trade tensions with Canada by announcing the decertification of Bombardier Global Express business jets and threatening steep new tariffs on Canadian-made aircraft. In a...

Trump Warns UK and Canada Against Deepening Business Ties With China

U.S. President Donald Trump has issued a strong warning to the United Kingdom and Canada over expanding business cooperation with China, describing such moves as very dangerous during a recent public appearance. His...

Faith Leaders Arrested on Capitol Hill During Protest Against Trump Immigration Policies and ICE Funding

Dozens of faith leaders were arrested on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., after staging a protest against President Donald Trumps immigration policies and calling for funding restrictions on U.S. Immigration and Customs...

Democrats Question Intelligence Chief’s Role in FBI Georgia Election Raid

Top Democrats on the U.S. Senate and House intelligence committees are demanding answers after Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard was present during a recent FBI raid on an election facility in Georgia, an...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Apple Faces Margin Pressure as Memory Chip Prices Surge Amid AI Boom

Apple is beginning to feel the strain from rapidly rising memory chip prices, a challenge that is expected to intensify in the current quarter as the global semiconductor market pivots toward artificial intelligence...

Apple Earnings Beat Expectations as iPhone Sales Surge to Four-Year High

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) delivered a strong fiscal first-quarter 2026 earnings report, comfortably beating Wall Street expectations on both profit and revenue, driven by its strongest iPhone sales growth in more than four...

OpenAI Reportedly Eyes Late-2026 IPO Amid Rising Competition and Massive Funding Needs

OpenAI is reportedly accelerating preparations for a potential initial public offering (IPO), with plans to go public by the fourth quarter of 2026, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing people familiar with the...

Sandisk Stock Soars After Blowout Earnings and AI-Driven Outlook

Sandisk shares surged more than 15% in after-hours trading on Thursday after the data storage and memory solutions company delivered a fiscal second-quarter earnings report that significantly exceeded Wall Street...

Elon Musk’s SpaceX Explores Merger Options With Tesla or xAI, Reports Say

Elon Musks SpaceX is reportedly exploring potential merger and consolidation options with Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) or artificial intelligence startup xAI, according to a Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the...
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